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The Indian stock market experienced a significant surge, with the Sensex and Nifty reaching their daily highs driven by robust performances in the IT and banking sectors. This upward trend follows the previous session's gains and anticipates the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. The broader market significantly outperformed the benchmarks, with both the BSE Smallcap and BSE Midcap indices exhibiting remarkable growth, each rising by a substantial 2 percent. This widespread increase indicates a positive sentiment across various market segments, reflecting investor confidence and optimism about future prospects.
Market analysts attribute the rally to a confluence of factors. The strong performance of banking stocks is partly attributed to the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) recent measures to inject liquidity into the system. These measures, which include bond purchases and dollar/rupee swaps, are viewed as potential precursors to a rate cut in the coming month. The RBI's actions are expected to infuse a substantial $17.39 billion into the financial system, effectively addressing a prolonged cash crunch that had driven up short-term lending rates. This injection of liquidity is expected to ease financial pressures and foster greater market stability.
The IT sector also contributed significantly to the market's upward trajectory. The sector's 1.5 percent gain mirrors positive movements in global tech stocks, particularly in the US market where a recovery in Nvidia and other AI-linked shares fueled a 2 percent jump in the Nasdaq. Nvidia's rebound, following a significant single-session loss, and Apple's near 4 percent gain, along with anticipation for upcoming quarterly results from tech giants, all contributed to the positive sentiment in the IT sector. However, analysts caution against excessive optimism, suggesting that the rally may be a temporary bounce after a recent global sell-off, and that underlying structural changes within the industry could continue to impact valuations.
Individual stock performances also played a significant role in shaping the market's overall trajectory. Bajaj Auto, Shriram Finance, Bharat Electronics, Tata Motors, and SBI Life emerged as top gainers on the Nifty 50, registering increases ranging from 2 to 4 percent. Bajaj Auto's strong performance was fueled by exceeding expectations in its Q3 earnings, primarily driven by its electric vehicle (EV) division, which accounted for a significant portion of its revenue. Shriram Finance also showed robust growth, reporting a substantial surge in net profit boosted by a one-time gain from a stake sale. Conversely, BPCL, Britannia, Asian Paints, ITC, and Tata Consumer experienced declines, ranging from 0.3 to 1.3 percent. The performance of BPCL was partly influenced by its ex-dividend status, while ITC's movement was impacted by the listing of its spin-off subsidiary, ITC Hotels, at a discounted price.
Despite the positive market sentiment, analysts remain cautious, noting the continued presence of heightened volatility. Sameet Chavan, Head of Research at Angel One, highlighted critical support and resistance levels for the Nifty 50 index, emphasizing the need for vigilance among traders. He specifically pointed out the importance of monitoring small and mid-cap stocks, which remain vulnerable to volatility. Overall, the market's direction seems to be influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including global events, domestic policy decisions, and the performance of individual companies. The upcoming budget announcement is also anticipated to play a crucial role in shaping future market trends.