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The Meteorological Centre Srinagar has issued a forecast predicting a significant snowfall event in the higher reaches of Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) from January 4th to 6th. This prediction follows a period of generally cloudy weather with light snow at scattered places, expected from January 1st evening to January 2nd. The forecast anticipates a feeble western disturbance affecting the region until January 2nd, with light snow primarily affecting scattered locations. January 3rd is projected to see generally cloudy weather with light snow possible in isolated higher reaches.
The primary concern, however, is the moderate to strong western disturbance expected to impact J&K from January 4th to 6th. This weather system is forecast to bring generally cloudy conditions, with light to moderate rain in the plains of Jammu and snow in most places of J&K. The peak intensity of this weather system is anticipated during the night of January 4th and continuing into the late night of January 5th. Improvement in weather conditions is predicted from late afternoon on January 6th. The possibility of heavy snowfall at isolated higher reaches during this period (January 4th to 6th) is a significant concern, prompting the issuance of advisories to the public.
The potential for heavy snowfall, coupled with sub-freezing temperatures and icy road conditions, presents significant challenges for travel and transportation throughout J&K. The Meteorological Centre's advisory strongly urges tourists, travelers, and transporters to plan their journeys carefully, taking into consideration the predicted weather conditions. It is strongly recommended that individuals heed the advisories issued by both the administration and the traffic department. Failure to do so could result in significant delays, disruptions, and potential safety hazards. The predicted adverse weather conditions highlight the importance of preparedness and caution for all those intending to travel within the region during this period.
The forecast extends beyond the period of heavy snowfall. From January 7th to 10th, the weather is expected to be cloudy but dry. This suggests a temporary reprieve from the severe weather conditions, offering a period of relative calm after the anticipated heavy snowfall. However, even during this period, vigilance is still recommended, as residual ice and snow may remain in many areas, potentially affecting road conditions and visibility. Authorities will likely continue to monitor conditions closely and issue further advisories as needed, ensuring the safety and well-being of the population and tourists.
The accuracy of weather forecasts is intrinsically limited, and unforeseen changes in weather patterns can always occur. While the current forecast provides a valuable indication of expected conditions, it's crucial to stay updated on any revisions or updates issued by the Meteorological Centre Srinagar and other relevant authorities. Regularly checking weather reports and following official advisories is the best way to remain informed and make informed decisions regarding travel plans and safety measures during this period of potentially hazardous weather. The potential impact on various sectors, including transportation, tourism, and agriculture, necessitates a comprehensive approach to mitigating risks and ensuring effective response mechanisms are in place.
Source: Heavy snowfall likely on higher reaches of J&K from Jan 4-6: MeT