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Elon Musk, a prominent business leader, invested heavily in supporting former President Donald Trump's re-election bid. His actions, including significant financial contributions and public endorsements, highlight the high stakes involved in this political gamble. While Trump's victory could potentially benefit Musk's companies, particularly Tesla, there are also significant risks to consider.
One potential benefit for Tesla is the possibility of reduced government support for electric vehicles. Trump has expressed skepticism towards EVs, potentially leading to a decrease or elimination of federal subsidies. While this might seem detrimental at first glance, Musk has argued that it could actually help Tesla by leveling the playing field with traditional automakers, who rely heavily on subsidies. However, the loss of tax incentives could also hinder consumer demand for EVs, impacting Tesla's sales.
Beyond the potential impact on EV subsidies, Trump's policies could have broader ramifications for Tesla. His stance on trade with China poses a significant threat to Tesla's operations, particularly its Shanghai Gigafactory, which accounts for a substantial portion of the company's global production. A renewed trade war with China could disrupt Tesla's supply chains, increase tariffs, and potentially damage the company's reputation in a key market.
Another risk for Tesla lies in Musk's potential involvement in the Trump administration. While speculative, there have been suggestions that Musk could be tapped for a government role, possibly focusing on reducing government spending. This would inevitably distract Musk from his responsibilities at Tesla, potentially hindering the company's performance at a crucial time. It is also worth noting that Trump's stance on self-driving vehicles is somewhat uncertain, with potential implications for Tesla's autonomous driving program.
In contrast to Tesla, Musk's other major company, SpaceX, is less likely to experience significant changes in its relationship with the federal government under Trump. SpaceX has secured lucrative contracts with NASA, and the Trump administration has generally been supportive of space exploration initiatives. Musk's social media platform, X (formerly Twitter), has faced criticism for its handling of misinformation, but it has not been subject to any major regulatory action under either Trump or Biden, and is unlikely to face significant changes under a Trump administration.
Source: Elon Musk bet big on Trump. Here’s what he stands to gain — and lose — from his win